********************************************************************************
Trump Tariffs Tank S&P
Chaos Clinic For 4/4/2025
********************************************************************************
This is an updated daily chart of the S&P. Prior versions were in the Chaos Clinics
for 2/14/2025 and 2/28/2025.
This chart shows a triangle top with corners on 12/6/2024, 1/13/2025, and 2/19/2025.
The swings were 38 and 37 days long. The decline into 3 at3/12/2025 was steeper than
move 1 down. It lasted just 21 days. Then what looked like a move 4 began. Drawing a
yellow parallelogram suggested it would run up until 4/22.
But 13 days up the rally stalled just above the Fib .382 retrace level. Then prices
dropped for 4 days, then rallied this week, into a high on the close of 4/2/2025.
Just after the close, Trump held a press conference to announce his tariff plan.
The market did not like it. Prices dropped overnight and on 4/3/2024.
This suggests that move 3 may be extending. Using CD=AB on move 2-3-? gives
a down target of 5837.25-665.75=5171.5 near 4/15-22/2025. This may be conservative.
Also on the chart are two EXMAs, a 6 and 147 day. The 147 was broken on 3/3/2025.
Taking half the cycle gives 5/16/2025 as a bottom. That is about half a year
from the 12/6/2025 high. We shall see.
For more on my work and to subscribe to Tomorrow's Market Email Hotline and access to daytradingforecasts.com see
Moneytide.com
Software to plot electric field flux lines in NinjaTrader is available at
energyfieldtrading.com
4/4/2025 11:45:08 AM MT RJS:: Have a great weekend Al and thank you for the instruction today! See everyone here next week. :)
4/4/2025 11:41:02 AM MT Al****:: I'm done-thanks for coming-see you next week-take some courses
4/4/2025 11:35:54 AM MT Al****:: I need to leave so covering 5170 for +68
4/4/2025 11:28:17 AM MT Pal:: Ah, I see
4/4/2025 11:27:55 AM MT Pal:: from the looks of it on SPKISS Chart 3, it is 4:00 pm sharp
4/4/2025 11:26:21 AM MT Al****:: mine is set to 5:00
4/4/2025 11:23:37 AM MT Pal:: The spliced chart you mention starts at 8:15 EST, but does it finish at 4:00pm or 4:15 or 5:00 (into the clearing period)? Thx
4/4/2025 11:16:01 AM MT Al****:: new lows
4/4/2025 11:11:39 AM MT Al****:: the 220 is a good stop guide today-now 5220, lock 18
4/4/2025 11:03:00 AM MT Al****:: it also depends on the data window-mine is a spliced chart
4/4/2025 10:35:05 AM MT rob:: Yes me too on 1 min chart. Perphaps the reference bar ?
4/4/2025 10:27:32 AM MT Al****:: you EXMAs may differ a bit-mine are done on one minute bars and are actually 18 and 110
4/4/2025 10:20:52 AM MT rob:: I have the cross 20/110 at 11:31. You too ? Because 5238 was before
4/4/2025 10:10:11 AM MT Al****:: not MoonTide trade but resold 5238 on 20/110 sell
4/4/2025 9:14:26 AM MT Al****:: first trade stopped 5238 for +37
4/4/2025 9:12:59 AM MT Al****:: yes - a minimum of 15 to 25 point stops today
4/4/2025 9:10:22 AM MT rob:: Yes the drop was clear but the entry a bit difficult with 5 points. 5 points stop is too small for today ?
4/4/2025 9:08:46 AM MT Al****:: hit my 5171.5 and bounced some up near the 220 EXMA
4/4/2025 8:59:08 AM MT Al****:: chart 3 on the SPKISS page had the 440, 220, and 110 minute EXMAs down at first trade time, with a sell near 5275
4/4/2025 8:52:26 AM MT Al****:: you watch the EXMAs
4/4/2025 7:56:49 AM MT rob:: Hello Al, the 20 EXMA cross the 110 EXMA a little bit earlier 9:44. The market is very volatil but in general how do you find the best entry ? Thanks
4/4/2025 7:07:35 AM MT Al****:: Pal: it was covered near close for +54
4/4/2025 6:43:08 AM MT Al****:: Good Morning visitors. Welcome to the Chaos Clinic.
The written Chaos Clinic is on the AUX page.
This site has a lot of charts,
so you may find it useful to have several of them available within your
browser. If you have a tabbed browser, you can open separate charts
in separate tabs by right clicking on any link, and selecting "open in new tab"
from the menu. The main list of site pages is at
http://daytradingforecasts.com/chartlistsec.asp
Recommended pages to watch are SPKISS, MTRainbow, and Chat.
For astro stuff, add SPSunMoon, Wheel, and Chaos Clinic.
A special set of Dr. Al's research charts are on the Secret page.
Comments in the chat room are announced by a
"duck call" noise. This noise also occurs when the software detects a
resonant hex pattern on the Wheel page. MoonTide trading tutorials
are on the right side of the ListOfCharts page. One should
read Trading the MoonTide Tutorial and Keep it Simple as a minimum.
Many subscribers do not strictly trade the MoonTides, but use the charts on this
site as input to their own trading strategies. For example, charts 5 and 6 on the
SPKiss page are a good starting point for swing traders.
Also on this site is the Certified Chaos Trader's Room. That room is open
to graduates of my 4 main courses. See http://moneytide.com -> Courses for details.
4/4/2025 6:43:02 AM MT Pal:: GM Al, I can see from the Weekly Email that did not sell your last trade yesterday,
12:48 440, 220, 110 down sell 5490
Did you hold it overnight?
4/4/2025 5:29:33 AM MT oag****:: Good morning everyone! Hope everyone has a prosperous day!
9:00 Eastern-System: No comments